Authors:
Umiyati Haris

Addresses:
Department of Public Administration, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Musamus Merauke University, South Papua, Indonesia. umiyatih12@unmus.ac.id

Abstract:

Russia’s strategy to control the Black Sea is one of the things that has caused the escalation of its conflict with Ukraine. Russia’s strategy is called ‘warm water’ politics through the placement of military bases in the port of Sevastopol, Crimea. This research discusses the ‘warm water’ politics that Russia has adopted as a strategy in its conflict with Ukraine. This research is qualitative research with a descriptive-analytical data analysis method. The data is presented descriptively and then analyzed using Liddell Hart’s analysis of Strategy and Till’s Maritime Function. Data were obtained through a literature review of official documents, websites, and scientific articles. The data analysis technique uses the Miles and Huberman model, which consists of data reduction, data presentation, and conclusion drawing. The results show that Russia’s Black Sea control strategy maintains the country’s existence, matching NATO’s strength in the Black Sea region. Sevastopol is an important port for accessing warm water areas. The maritime functions of Crimea for Russia are sea control, power projection, good order at sea, and maritime consensus. Russia is using “warm water” politics by utilizing the energy sector, especially natural gas supplies, as a tool to control Ukraine in the ongoing conflict. Due to these strategies, Russia has a significant chance to influence Ukrainian policy. Therefore, Russia’s employment of “warm water” tactics has proven to be an effective tactic in conflict with Ukraine.

Keywords: ‘Warm Water’ Politics; Strategy and Conflict; Maritime Function; Oil and Natural Gas; Sea Control; Power Projection; Miles and Huberman model.

Received on: 17/09/2023, Revised on: 27/11/2023, Accepted on: 12/01/2024, Published on: 09/03/2024

DOI: 10.69888/FTSSSL.2024.000216

FMDB Transactions on Sustainable Social Sciences Letters , 2024 Vol. 2 No. 1, Pages: 11-18

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